January 2012

Apex indicates moderate optimism in base metals markets for 2012

The Metal Bulletin Apex forecasts, which measure price expectations, show that while the bullish sentiment in the base metals markets of a year ago has faded considerably, nearly all analysts expect prices to move up moderately through 2012.

APEX FULL YEAR 2011: Base metal forecasts: astounding accuracy

Astounding upon astounding: that is how the 2011 leaderboard for Apex, the Metal Bulletin service that tracks the performance of over twenty top base metal price forecasters, appears when you consider it coldly.

APEX FULL YEAR 2011: Benign year ahead for base metals, Daniel Brebner says

The coming twelve months are likely to be relatively benign for base metals, according to Daniel Brebner, head of metals research at Deutsche Bank.

APEX FULL YEAR 2011: Deutsche Bank advises pair trading on metals

Deutsche Bank is advising clients to look at trading pairs of metals, instead of taking a single position, in order to mitigate risk as volatility in the global economy continues.

APEX FULL YEAR 2011: Deutsche Bank takes second place in overall leaderboard

The metals research team at Deutsche Bank took second place on the overall Apex leaderboard for price forecasts in base metals during 2011, with 94.1% accuracy across all six base metals traded on the London Metal Exchange.

APEX FULL YEAR 2011: Meir takes top spot in base metals forecasts

Edward Meir, formerly of MF Global and now of INTL FCStone, has scooped first place on the overall leaderboard for price forecasts in base metals during 2011, with 95.8% accuracy across all six.

MB APEX FULL YEAR 2011: Citi analysts name their picks for 2012

Aluminium prices are likely to perform relatively well in the coming year, while nickel will be neutral, analysts at Citigroup told Metal Bulletin.

MB APEX FULL YEAR 2011: Citigroup takes third in overall leaderboard

The metals research team at Citigroup came in third on the overall leaderboard for base metals price forecasts for the whole of 2011, with 93.4% accuracy.

MB APEX FULL YEAR 2011: Energy costs a threat to growth, Meir says

Rising energy costs will be a key driver of base metals prices in the coming year, Ed Meir, senior commodity analyst at INTL FCStone told Metal Bulletin.

MB APEX FULL YEAR 2011: Metal price forecasts still useful in volatile market, Meir says

Price forecasts for base metals are becoming less and less credible and are not a market driving force, as short term volatility continues to overshadow trading movements, Edward Meir, senior commodity analyst at INTL FCStone, told Metal Bulletin